Former BLS Official: Jobs Picture Is Far Worse Than Officials Are Telling Us


jobs chart

Here’s some news you probably won’t be hearing much about on the Sunday morning shows. A former Bureau of Labor Statistics official said that the jobs crisis is far worse than government officials are telling us. Most of us are aware of this, but it’s always worth repeating because so many talking heads ignore our economic reality.

Former Bureau of Labor Statistics chief Keith Hall recently was asked about the unemployment rate, which shows 7.6% of all Americans without jobs. His answer was shocking.

“Right now (the standard unemployment rate) is misleadingly low,” Hall, now with the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, told New York Post financial reporter John Crudele.

While it barely got mentioned by the mainstream media mob, Hall says the plunging employment-to-population ratio leads him to believe the real rate of unemployment is much higher than 7.6% — perhaps 10.6%.

How could that be? Ordinarily, during a recovery, the employment-to-population ratio actually increases as more people come off the sidelines and get jobs.

Not so this time. Hall notes that June’s 58.7% employment-to-population ratio is actually lower than when the recession began at the end of 2007.

“I think that’s a remarkable statistic,” he said. And that may be an understatement.

The BLS itself puts out several “alternative” measures of unemployment. One of them, the so-called U6 gauge, adds to ordinary unemployment those who are discouraged, part-time workers who want full-time jobs and those who are “marginally-attached” to the workforce.

As the chart above shows, the real rate of unemployment is about 14.3% — nearly two-thirds higher than when the recession began in December 2007.

Read the whole thing, as the article also points out how none of this is going to get any better, thanks in large part to Obamacare which is killing full time jobs.