More Predictions


If you’re looking for bad news for Mitt Romney, look elsewhere. It’s all over the main stream media and won’t be hard to find. But even they’re predicting that this race is closer than ever. I’d rather give you hope and inspiration so maybe you’ll sleep better. (But not so much that you don’t get out and vote if you haven’t voted early.)

Karl Rove predicts that Romney will win with 285 Electoral College votes vs. 253 for President Obama. He also says that there’s a good chance Romney can do even better.

Dick Morris has been saying all along that Romney would win, then wavered in the immediate aftermath of Hurricane Sandy. Now he thinks Sandy will hurt Obama and that Romney will win.

George Will believes Romney will win 321 to 217.

I already told you that Michael Barone is predicting a Romney win.

Smitty has Romney by a landslide.

My favorite prediction of the evening comes from Peggy Noonan. Yeah, I know, go figure. But I think you’ll like it, too.

All the vibrations are right. A person who is helping him who is not a longtime Romneyite told me, yesterday: “I joined because I was anti Obama—I’m a patriot, I’ll join up But now I am pro-Romney.” Why? “I’ve spent time with him and I care about him and admire him. He’s a genuinely good man.” Looking at the crowds on TV, hearing them chant “Three more days” and “Two more days”—it feels like a lot of Republicans have gone from anti-Obama to pro-Romney.

Something old is roaring back. One of the Romney campaign’s surrogates, who appeared at a rally with him the other night, spoke of the intensity and joy of the crowd “I worked the rope line, people wouldn’t let go of my hand.” It startled him. A former political figure who’s been in Ohio told me this morning something is moving with evangelicals, other church-going Protestants and religious Catholics. He said what’s happening with them is quiet, unreported and spreading: They really want Romney now, they’ll go out and vote, the election has taken on a new importance to them.

There is no denying the Republicans have the passion now, the enthusiasm. The Democrats do not. Independents are breaking for Romney. And there’s the thing about the yard signs. In Florida a few weeks ago I saw Romney signs, not Obama ones. From Ohio I hear the same. From tony Northwest Washington, D.C., I hear the same.

Is it possible this whole thing is playing out before our eyes and we’re not really noticing because we’re too busy looking at data on paper instead of what’s in front of us? Maybe that’s the real distortion of the polls this year: They left us discounting the world around us.

And there is Obama, out there seeming tired and wan, showing up through sheer self discipline. A few weeks ago I saw the president and the governor at the Al Smith dinner, and both were beautiful specimens in their white ties and tails, and both worked the dais. But sitting there listening to the jokes and speeches, the archbishop of New York sitting between them, Obama looked like a young challenger—flinty, not so comfortable. He was distracted, and his smiles seemed forced. He looked like a man who’d just seen some bad internal polling. Romney? Expansive, hilarious, self-spoofing, with a few jokes of finely calibrated meanness that were just perfect for the crowd. He looked like a president. He looked like someone who’d just seen good internals.

Read the whole thing if you can. At some point tomorrow the entire WSJ site is going to be free for all readers on the internet. I think it will be after 5 PM ET on Tuesday for 24 hours. So while you’re sitting on pins and needles waiting to hear some news, go read it and make yourself feel better.

I have to say, after watching the coverage of the campaigns for the last two days I noticed that Romney really does look at peace. Obama, on the other hand, just looks angry. The thin veneer from 2008 is gone, now all that’s left is a far left progressive politician desperately trying to hold onto power. It won’t sway the true believers, but the independents who just started tuning in over the past month are sure to notice that this is not the same person they elected in 2008. And I’m sure they’ve noticed that Romney isn’t the ogre Obama has made him out to be.

Update: It’s not a prediction, but did you hear about how so many retired military generals endorsed Romney? Obama has something like five.